Saturday, December 30, 2017

2017 Citrus Bowl

On Monday the Citrus Bowl pits the LSU Tiger from the Southeastern Conference against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (independent).  So here is my analysis of the Citrus Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the LSU Tigers.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

LSU Tigers
The Tigers finished the regular season at 9-3, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that LSU's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Tigers' best victory was over #11 ranked Auburn by a score of (27-23).  The Tigers' worst loss was to #26 ranked Troy by a score of (21-24).  LSU has the #17 ranked team in total production with the #59 ranked offense and the #7 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
The Fighting Irish finished the regular season at 9-3, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Notre Dame's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Fighting Irish's best victory was over #19 ranked Southern California by a score of  (49-14).  Notre Dames's worst loss was to #48 ranked Stanford by a score of (20-38).  Notre Dame has the #22 ranked team in total production with the #30 ranked offense and the #40 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl 
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl

2017 Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl

On Monday the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl pits the Auburn Tigers from the Southeastern Conference against the Central Florida Knights from the American Athletic Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Chic-fil-A Peach Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Central Florida Knights.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Auburn Tigers
The Tigers finished the regular season at 10-2, and was defeated by #9 ranked Georgia (7-28) in the Southeastern conference championship game to be currently 10-3 overall, while played against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Auburn's SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Tigers' best victory was over #9 ranked Georgia (during the regular season) by a score of (40-17).  The Tigers' worst loss was to #17 ranked LSU by a score of (23-27).  Auburn has the #11 ranked team in total production with the #17 ranked offense and the #14 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Central Florida Knights
The Knights finished the regular season at 11-0, then defeated #16 ranked Memphis in the American Athletic conference championship game by a score of (62-55) to be 12-0 currently.  The Knights played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Central Florida's SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Knights' best victory was over #16 ranked Memphis during the regular season by a score of  (40-13).  Central Florida has the #6 ranked team in total production with the #3 ranked offense and the #56 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl 
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl

2017 Outback Bowl

On Friday the Outback Bowl pits the Michigan Wolverines from the Big 10 Conference against the South Carolina Gamecocks from the Southeastern Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Outback Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Michigan Wolverines.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Michigan Wolverines
The Wolverines finished the regular season at 8-4, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Michigan's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Wolverines' best victory was over #44 ranked Purdue by a score of (28-10).  The Wolverines' worst loss was to in-state rival #59 ranked Michigan State by a score of (10-14).  Michigan has the #42 ranked team in total production with the #86 ranked offense and the #12 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

South Carolina Gamecocks
The Trojans finished the regular season at 8-4, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that South Carolina's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Gamecocks' best victory was over #32 ranked Missouri by a score of  (31-13).  South Carolina's worst loss was to #100 ranked Kentucky by a score of (13-23).  South Carolina has the #64 ranked team in total production with the #105 ranked offense and the #22 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl 
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl

Friday, December 29, 2017

2017 Capital One Orange Bowl

On Saturday the Capital One Orange Bowl pits the Miami (FL) Hurricanes from the Atlantic Coast Conference against the Wisconsin Badgers from the Big 10 Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Capital One Orange Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Wisconsin Badgers.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Miami (FL) Hurricanes
The Hurricanes finished the regular season at 10-1, and were defeated by #8 ranked Clemson (3-38) in the Atlantic Coast conference championship game to be currently 10-2 overall.  Miami (FL) played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Miami (FL)'s SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Hurricanes' best victory was over #21 ranked Toledo by a score of (52-30).  The Hurricanss' only regular season loss was to #87 ranked Pittsburgh by a score of (14-24).  Miami (FL) has the #15 ranked team in total production with the #31 ranked offense and the #17 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Wisconsin Badgers
The Badgers finished the regular season at 12-0, but lost in the Big 10 conference championship game to #2 ranked Ohio State by a score of (21-27) to be 12-1 currently.  The Badgers played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Wisconsin's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Badgers' best victory was over #12 ranked Florida Atlantic by a score of  (31-14), and they were undefeated during the regular season.  Wisconsin has the #7 ranked team in total production with the #22 ranked offense and the #3 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl 
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl 
Goodyear Cotton Bowl 
Taxslayer Bowl

2017 Playstation Fiesta Bowl

On Saturday the Playstation Fiesta Bowl pits the Penn State Nittany Lions from the Big 10 Conference against the Washington Huskies from the Pacific 12 Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Playstation Fiesta Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives a slight edge to the Washington Huskies.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Penn State Nittany Lions
The Nittany Lions finished the regular season at 10-2, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Penn State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Nittany Lions' best victory was over #40 ranked Northwestern by a score of (31-7).  The Nittany Lions' worst loss was to #52 ranked Michigan State by a score of (24-27).  Penn State has the #4 ranked team in total production with the #11 ranked offense and the #6 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Washington Huskies
The Huskies finished the regular season at 10-2, and played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Washington's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Huskies' best victory was over #28 ranked Fresno State by a score of  (48-16), and Washington's worst loss was to #78 ranked Arizona State by a score of (7-13).  Washington has the #3 ranked team in total production with the #26 ranked offense and the #1 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl 
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl 
Goodyear Cotton Bowl 
Taxslayer Bowl

2017 AutoZone Liberty Bowl

On Saturday the AutoZone Liberty Bowl pits the Iowa State Cyclones from the Big 12 Conference against the Memphis Tigers from the American Athletic Conference.  So here is my analysis of the AutoZone Liberty Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Memphis Tigers.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Iowa State Cyclones
The Cyclones finished the regular season at 7-5, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Iowa State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Cyclones' best victory was over #5 ranked Oklahoma by a score of (38-31).  The Cyclones' worst loss was to #72 ranked West Virginia by a score of (16-20).  Iowa State has the #35 ranked team in total production with the #41 ranked offense and the #49 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Memphis Tigers
The Tigers finished the regular season at 10-2, while playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Memphis' SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Tigers' best victory was over #55 ranked Houston by a score of  (42-38).  Memphis' worst loss was to #6 ranked UCF (twice).  Memphis has the #16 ranked team in total production with the #4 ranked offense and the #102 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl 
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl 
Goodyear Cotton Bowl 
Taxslayer Bowl

2017 Taxslayer Bowl

On Saturday the Taxslayer Bowl pits the Louisville Cardinals from the Atlantic Coast Conference against the Mississippi State Bulldogs from the Southeastern Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Taxslayer Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Louisville Cardinals.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Louisville Cardinals
The Cardinals finished the regular season at 8-4, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Louisville's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Cardinals' best victory was over #44 ranked Purdue by a score of (35-28).  The Cardinals' worst loss was to #57 ranked Boston College by a score of (42-45).  Louisville has the #10 ranked team in total production with the #6 ranked offense and the #68 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Mississippi State Bulldogs
The Bulldogs finished the regular season at 8-4, while playing against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Mississippi State's SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Bulldogs' best victory was over #17 ranked LSU by a score of  (37-7).  Mississippi State's worst loss was to  in-state rival #79 ranked Mississippi by a score of (28-31).  Mississippi State has the #25 ranked team in total production with the #47 ranked offense and the #15 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl 
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl 
Goodyear Cotton Bowl

Thursday, December 28, 2017

2017 Goodyear Cotton Bowl

On Friday the Goodyear Cotton Bowl pits the Ohio State Buckeyes from the Big 10 Conference against the Southern California Trojans from the Pacific 12 Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Goodyear Cotton Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Ohio State Buckeyes.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Ohio State Buckeyes
The Buckeyes finished the regular season at 10-2, and defeated #7 ranked Wisconsin (27-21) in the Big 10 conference championship game to be currently 11-2 overall, while played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Ohio State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Buckeyes' best victory was over #4 ranked Penn State by a score of (39-38).  The Buckeyes' worst loss was to #63 ranked Iowa by a score of (17-55).  Ohio State has the #2 ranked team in total production with the #5 ranked offense and the #19 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Southern California Trojans
The Trojans finished the regular season at 10-2, then defeated #48 ranked Stanford in the Pac 12 conference championship game by a score of (31-28) to be 11-2 currently.  The Trojan played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Southern California's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Trojans' best victory was over #41 ranked Utah by a score of  (28-27).  Southern California's worst loss was to #39 ranked Washington State by a score of (27-30).  Southern California has the #19 ranked team in total production with the #10 ranked offense and the #73 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl 
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl

2017 NOVA Loans Home Arizona Bowl

On Friday the NOVA Loans Home Arizona Bowl pits the New Mexico State Aggies from the Sun Belt Conference against the Utah State Aggies from the Mountain West Conference.  So here is my analysis of the NOVA Loans Home Arizona Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives a slight edge to the New Mexico State Aggies.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

New Mexico State Aggies
The Aggies finished the regular season at 7-5, while played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that New Mexico State's SOS was between one and two standard deviations greater than the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Aggies' best victory was over #90 ranked Idaho by a score of (17-10).  The Aggies' worst loss was to #108 ranked Louisiana-Lafayette by a score of (34-47).  New Mexico State has the #61 ranked team in total production with the #33 ranked offense and the #87 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Utah State Aggies
The Aggies finished the regular season at 6-6 while played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Utah State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Aggies' best victory was over #83 ranked UNLV by a score of  (52-28).  Utah State's worst loss was to #93 ranked Air Force by a score of (35-38).  Utah State has the #62 ranked team in total production with the #45 ranked offense and the #71 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl

2017 Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl

On Friday the Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl pits the Kentucky Wildcats from the Southeastern Conference against the Northwestern Wildcats from the Big 10 Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Northwestern Wildcats.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Kentucky Wildcats
The Wildcats finished the regular season at 7-5, while played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Kentucky's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Wildcats' best victory was over #30 ranked Southern Mississippi by a score of (24-17).  The Wildcats' worst loss was to #95 ranked Florida by a score of (27-28).  Kentucky has the #100 ranked team in total production with the #97 ranked offense and the #84 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Northwestern Wildcats
The Wildcats finished the regular season at 9-3 while played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Northwestern's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Wildcats' best victory was over #44 ranked Purdue by a score of  (23-13).  Northwestern's worst loss was to #71 ranked Duke by a score of (17-44).  Northwestern has the #40 ranked team in total production with the #64 ranked offense and the #26 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl

2017 Hyundai Sun Bowl

On Friday the Hyundai Sun Bowl pits the Arizona State Sun Devils from the Pacific 12 Conference against the North Carolina State Wolfpack from the Atlantic Coast Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Hyundai Sun Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the North Carolina State Wolfpack.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Arizona State Sun Devils
The Sun Devils finished the regular season at 6-6, while played against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Arizona State's SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Sun Devils' best victory was over #3 ranked Washington by a score of (13-7).  The Sun Devils' worst loss was to #98 ranked UCLA by a score of (37-44).  Arizona State has the #78 ranked team in total production with the #48 ranked offense and the #94 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

North Carolina State Wolfpack
The Wolfpack finished the regular season at 8-4 while played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that North Carolina State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Wolfpack's best victory was over #10 ranked Louisville by a score of  (39-25).  North Carolina State's worst loss was to #64 ranked South Carolina by a score of (28-35).  North Carolina State has the #38 ranked team in total production with the #46 ranked offense and the #38 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl

2017 Belk Bowl

On Friday the Belk Bowl pits the Texas A&M Aggies from the Southeastern Conference against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons from the Atlantic Coast Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Belk Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Wake Forest Demon Deacons.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Texas A&M Aggies
The Aggies finished the regular season at 6-6, while played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Texas A&M's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Aggies' best victory was over #64 ranked South Carolina by a score of (24-17).  The Aggies' worst loss was to #96 ranked Arkansas by a score of (43-50).  Texas A&M has the #70 ranked team in total production with the #49 ranked offense and the #76 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
The Demon Deacons finished the regular season at 7-5 while played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Wake Forest's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Demon Deacons' best victory was over #10 ranked Louisville by a score of  (42-32).  Wake Forest's worst loss was to #75 ranked Florida State by a score of (19-26).  Wake Forest has the #43 ranked team in total production with the #23 ranked offense and the #75 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl

Wednesday, December 27, 2017

2017 Valero Alamo Bowl

On Thursday the Valero Alamo Bowl pits the Stanford Cardinal from the Pacific 12 Conference against the Texas Christian Horned Frogs from the Big 12 Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Valero Alamo Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives a tiny edge to the Texas Christian Horned Frogs.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Stanford Cardinal
The Cardinal finished the regular season at 9-4, while playing against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Stanford's SOS was between one and two standard deviations below the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Cardinal's best victory was over #3 ranked Washington by a score of (30-22), and their worst loss was to #39 ranked Washington State by a score of (21-24).  Stanford has the #48 ranked team in total production with the #42 ranked offense and the #60 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Texas Christian Horned Frogs
The Horned Frogs finished the regular season at 10-3 while also playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Texas Christian's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS .  This season the Horned Frogs' best victory was over #13 ranked Oklahoma State by a score of (44-31).  The Horned Frogs' worst loss was to #35 ranked Iowa State by a score of (7-14).  Texas Christian has the #14 ranked team in total production with the #19 ranked offense and the #24 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl

2017 SDCCU Holiday Bowl

On Thursday the SDCCU Holiday Bowl pits the Michigan State Spartans from the Big 10 Conference against the Washington State Cougars from the Pacific 12 Conference.  So here is my analysis of the SDCCU Holiday Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives a tiny edge to the Washington State Cougars.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Michigan State Spartans
The Spartans finished the regular season at 9-3, while playing against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Michigan State's SOS was between one and two standard deviations below the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Spartans' best victory was over #4 ranked Penn State by a score of (27-24), and their worst loss was to #40 ranked Northwestern by a score of (31-39).  Michigan State has the #59 ranked team in total production with the #98 ranked offense and the #21 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Washington State Cougars
The Cougars finished the regular season at 8-4 while also playing againsta "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Washington State's SOS was between one and two standard deviations below the "league's" average SOS .  This season the Cougars' best victory was over #19 ranked Southern California by a score of (30-27).  The Cougar's worst loss was to #85 ranked California by a score of (3-37).  Washington State has the #39 ranked team in total production with the #53 ranked offense and the #33 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl

2017 Camping World Bowl

On Thursday the Camping World Bowl pits the Oklahoma State Cowboys from the Big 12 Conference against the Virginia Tech Hokies from the Atlantic Coast Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Camping World Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives a tiny edge to the Oklahoma State Cowboys.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Oklahoma State Cowboys
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 9-3, while playing against  an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Oklahoma State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Cowboys' best victory was over #35 ranked Iowa State by a score of (49-42), and their worst loss was to #68 ranked Kansas State by a score of (40-45).  Oklahoma State has the #13 ranked team in total production with the #2 ranked offense and the #96 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Virginia Tech Hokies
The Hokies finished the regular season at 9-3 while played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Virginia Tech's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Hokies' best victory was over #57 ranked Boston College by a score of  (23-10).  Virginia Tech's worst loss was to #67 ranked Georgia Tech by a score of (22-28).  Virginia has the #24 ranked team in total production with the #63 ranked offense and the #9 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl

2017 Military Bowl

On Thursday the Military Bowl pits the Navy Midshipmen from the American Athletic Conference against the Virginia Cavaliers from the Atlantic Coast Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Military Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives a tiny edge to the Navy Midshipmen, but statistically this game is a toss up.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Navy Midshipmen
The Midshipmen finished the regular season at 6-6, while playing against  an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Navy's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Midshipmen's best victory was over #12 ranked Florida Atlantic by a score of (42-19), and their worst loss was to #88 ranked Temple by a score of (26-34).  Navy has the #81 ranked team in total production with the #79 ranked offense and the #72 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Virginia Cavaliers
The Cavaliers finished the regular season at 6-6 while played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Virginia's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Cavaliers' best victory was over #23 ranked Boise State by a score of  (42-23).  Virginia's worst loss was to #87 ranked Pittsburgh by a score of (14-31).  Virginia has the #82 ranked team in total production with the #96 ranked offense and the #59 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl

Tuesday, December 26, 2017

2017 Academy Sports & Outdoors Texas Bowl

On Wednesday the Academy Sports & Outdoor TexasBowl pits the Missouri Tigers from the Southeastern Conference against the Texas Longhorns from the Big 12 Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Missouri Tigers.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Missouri Tigers
The Tigers finished the regular season at 7-5, while playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Missouri's SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Tigers' best victory was over #90 ranked Idaho by a score of (68-21); yes, their best victory was over a team currently ranked in the bottom third of the FBS.  The Tigers' worst loss was to #100 ranked Kentucky by a score of (34-40).  Missouri has the #32 ranked team in total production with the #9 ranked offense and the #92 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Texas Longhorns
The Longhorns finished the regular season at 6-6 while played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Texas' SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Longhorns' best victory was over #35 ranked Iowa State by a score of  (17-7).  Texas' worst loss was to #105 ranked Maryland by a score of (41-51).  Texas has the #54 ranked team in total production with the #80 ranked offense and the #25 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl