Friday, December 29, 2017

2017 Playstation Fiesta Bowl

On Saturday the Playstation Fiesta Bowl pits the Penn State Nittany Lions from the Big 10 Conference against the Washington Huskies from the Pacific 12 Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Playstation Fiesta Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives a slight edge to the Washington Huskies.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Penn State Nittany Lions
The Nittany Lions finished the regular season at 10-2, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Penn State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Nittany Lions' best victory was over #40 ranked Northwestern by a score of (31-7).  The Nittany Lions' worst loss was to #52 ranked Michigan State by a score of (24-27).  Penn State has the #4 ranked team in total production with the #11 ranked offense and the #6 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Washington Huskies
The Huskies finished the regular season at 10-2, and played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Washington's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Huskies' best victory was over #28 ranked Fresno State by a score of  (48-16), and Washington's worst loss was to #78 ranked Arizona State by a score of (7-13).  Washington has the #3 ranked team in total production with the #26 ranked offense and the #1 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl 
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl 
Goodyear Cotton Bowl 
Taxslayer Bowl

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